Measured state-tax burden through 2025, plus the 2026 projection and enacted additions.
THE PRITZKER
TAX CLOCK
A running estimate of state tax hikes and local property-tax hikes since J.B. Pritzker took office—paired with a line-by-line ledger of 71 state tax, fee and toll hikes.
Added statewide property-tax collections above the 2018 baseline. Pritzker promised to reduce property taxes; the statewide levy continued to rise.
Model updated Sept. 29, 2026. Property-tax actuals run through 2024; 2025 and 2026 are linear-trend estimates. The 2026 property-tax estimate accrues through the clock daily. Toll increases begin Jan. 1, 2027 and are not counted before then.
Annual tax-hike impact
Estimated gross collections from the 2017 income-tax increase, plus state-tax excess from Illinois Policy and statewide local property-tax collections above the 2018 baseline.
2017 shows a half-year estimate because the higher income-tax rates took effect July 1. The income-tax layer is contextual and is not included in the post-2019 live counters. 2026 estimate: $13.64B income-tax impact + $16.82B excess state taxes + $10.86B property-tax increase = $41.32B through year-end.
Every hike in the 71-count
Search the policy, rate change, or affected taxpayer. Cumulative collections appear in the main ledger; open an entry for annual estimates and calculation details.
What the clock measures
Historical actuals
The state-tax base is Illinois Policy’s $77.22 billion “excess burden” series for 2019–2025. Property-tax actuals add $26.265 billion above the 2018 levy baseline through 2024. The household counter uses 5,036,449 Illinois households.
Live state estimate
The state counter extends the $16.516 billion 2025 measured burden through 2026, adds the $478 million NITA estimate from Aug. 1, and adds the $144 million manufacturing-expensing decoupling estimate from Jan. 1.
Property-tax trendline
A least-squares linear trend fitted to IDOR’s 2018–2024 statewide levies estimates $41.246 billion for 2025 and $42.668 billion for 2026. That is $9.440 billion and $10.862 billion above the 2018 baseline. The 2026 excess accrues daily.
Toll attribution
The Tollway Board voted Aug. 19, 2026 to raise passenger tolls about 57% and commercial tolls 30%, effective Jan. 1, 2027. Passenger revenue is estimated at $399.5 million using 887.85 million 2024 passenger transactions × about 45¢. Commercial revenue is the $250.5 million residual of the $650 million combined estimate.
Gas-tax method: gasoline and diesel pump-tax increases are counted separately: eight gasoline increases plus eight diesel increases on eight effective dates, adding 16 entries to the 71-count. Each fuel’s annual and running revenue estimate equals its incremental rate multiplied by FHWA’s 2024 Illinois net taxable volume: 4.264763 billion gasoline gallons and 1.509709 billion special-fuel gallons, with special fuel used as the diesel-volume proxy. These are modeled estimates, not reported collections.
Start dates and future activation: exact statutory or administrative effective dates are used where available. A row marked “modeled” uses July 1 of its listed year. Future-dated estimates remain at $0.00 until their start date, then begin accruing automatically without a site update.
Official-source backfill: missing line-item estimates were researched against CGFA budget summaries, Comptroller fund receipts, IDOR reports and bulletins, and the Illinois Gaming Board. These detail estimates are already contained within the top-down Illinois Policy state-tax series used by the headline clock, so they are not added a second time. Items that official reports combine with another tax base remain excluded from line-item sums and say why in their expanded view.
FY2022 corporate package: lines 28–31 are grouped and allocated using the State’s official $655 million estimate: $314 million for the NOL cap, $214 million for bonus-depreciation decoupling, $107 million for foreign-source dividends and $20 million for the franchise-tax phaseout freeze. Running amounts annualize those FY2022 estimates; they are not reported collections.
SB 690 gambling package: lines 23–26 are grouped consecutively without changing the 71-count. The counter attributes four percentage points of video-gaming net terminal income to SB 690, preserves the original 15% sports-wagering tax as the SB 690 share, and uses CGFA’s reported sports-license fees. The casino rate restructuring is shown but contributes $0 because CGFA found it reduced State revenue compared with the prior structure. Later sports-wagering and video-gaming increases remain separate ledger entries.
Tips and overtime: Illinois did not enact a separate add-back for the new federal deductions. The federal deductions occur after adjusted gross income, while Illinois begins its individual-income-tax calculation with federal AGI. Illinois therefore continues taxing qualified tips and overtime, but that continuation is not counted as a new Illinois tax hike. The enacted $144 million business-expensing decoupling is counted separately.