Measured state-tax burden through 2025, plus the 2026 projection and enacted additions.
THE PRITZKER
TAX CLOCK
A running estimate of state tax hikes and local property-tax hikes since J.B. Pritzker took office—paired with a line-by-line ledger of 71 state tax, fee and toll hikes.
Added statewide property-tax collections above the 2018 baseline. Pritzker promised to reduce property taxes; the statewide levy continued to rise.
Model updated Sept. 29, 2026. Property-tax actuals run through 2024; 2025 and 2026 are linear-trend estimates. The 2026 property-tax estimate accrues through the clock daily. Toll increases begin Jan. 1, 2027 and are not counted before then.
Annual tax-hike impact
Estimated gross collections from the 2017 income-tax increase, plus state-tax excess from Illinois Policy and statewide local property-tax collections above the 2018 baseline.
2017 shows a half-year estimate because the higher income-tax rates took effect July 1. The income-tax layer is contextual and is not included in the post-2019 live counters. 2026 estimate: $13.64B income-tax impact + $16.82B excess state taxes + $10.86B property-tax increase = $41.32B through year-end.
Every hike in the 71-count
Search the policy, rate change, or affected taxpayer. Cumulative collections appear in the main ledger; open an entry for annual estimates and calculation details.
173 TIF extensions.
Billions in property taxes retained.
Gov. Pritzker signed 21 laws authorizing 173 district extensions. These extend the period in which property-tax growth is allocated to TIF funds. This section estimates the revenue retained during the added years, using the district-by-district research workbook.
What these dollars mean: estimated gross property-tax increment retained, not an estimate of actual tax-bill increases. TIF funds can distribute surplus to taxing bodies. These figures are shown separately from the headline tax clock to avoid double counting statewide property taxes.
Loading the district-level estimates…
| Bill / law | Pritzker signed | Districts | Annual 2026 | Cumulative through 2026 | Lifetime estimate | Districts & sources |
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Year-by-year estimates, 2019–2050
Select a year to update the bill table. Each bar shows the annual amount allocated to added extension years.
| Tax year | Annual estimate | Cumulative estimate |
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Calculation, timing and missing figures
Lifetime: each reported annual property-tax increment multiplied by its added years. Most extensions add 12 years; Tremont adds nine. The spreadsheet totals $10,334,394,059 using 169 financial baselines. The four unavailable figures are excluded, not entered as zero. Provisional matches remain included and flagged in the district details.
Timeline: estimated first added tax year = ordinance year + prior term + 1; final added tax year = ordinance year + new term. This allocates each district’s baseline across only the added years. Fox River Grove and Lisle reach modeled tax year 2050; final collections may continue into 2051. Exact local completion and collection dates have not been verified.
Running total: completed modeled tax years plus a straight-line fraction of the current year, using Central Time. It is a calendar allocation, not reported collections. A district contributes nothing before its state law was signed. Sparta and the two Lyons districts have formula-derived extension starts before their signing years; the running estimate includes those earlier modeled years after signing. That timing is provisional, not a finding that retroactive collections occurred.
Assumptions: constant annual revenue, no inflation or growth, no discounting, and no subtraction for surplus distributions or intergovernmental payments. Baselines mix Cook County tax-year 2024 revenue and municipal fiscal-year reports. State authorization does not establish that every municipality adopted the extension, met all conditions, or kept the district open for its full term.
Unverified: financial baselines for Cahokia, two East St. Louis districts, and East Peoria’s West Washington Street TIF. The Cahokia and East St. Louis district names remain unconfirmed; the law’s establishment dates identify those rows. Actual tax-bill effects require a separate model of overlapping tax bases and levies.
Research as of October 14, 2026. Source figures and signed-law links are available in every bill’s district expansion.
What the clock measures
Historical actuals
The state-tax base is Illinois Policy’s $77.22 billion “excess burden” series for 2019–2025. Property-tax actuals add $26.265 billion above the 2018 levy baseline through 2024. The household counter uses 5,036,449 Illinois households.
Live state estimate
The state counter extends the $16.516 billion 2025 measured burden through 2026, adds the $478 million NITA estimate from Aug. 1, and adds the $144 million manufacturing-expensing decoupling estimate from Jan. 1.
Property-tax trendline
A least-squares linear trend fitted to IDOR’s 2018–2024 statewide levies estimates $41.246 billion for 2025 and $42.668 billion for 2026. That is $9.440 billion and $10.862 billion above the 2018 baseline. The 2026 excess accrues daily.
Toll attribution
The Tollway Board voted Aug. 19, 2026 to raise passenger tolls about 57% and commercial tolls 30%, effective Jan. 1, 2027. Passenger revenue is estimated at $399.5 million using 887.85 million 2024 passenger transactions × about 45¢. Commercial revenue is the $250.5 million residual of the $650 million combined estimate.
Gas-tax method: gasoline and diesel pump-tax increases are counted separately: eight gasoline increases plus eight diesel increases on eight effective dates, adding 16 entries to the 71-count. Each fuel’s annual and running revenue estimate equals its incremental rate multiplied by FHWA’s 2024 Illinois net taxable volume: 4.264763 billion gasoline gallons and 1.509709 billion special-fuel gallons, with special fuel used as the diesel-volume proxy. These are modeled estimates, not reported collections.
SB 1939 transportation package: lines 3–23 are grouped for readability without changing the 71-count. The package contains 16 fuel-specific increases—eight gasoline and eight diesel—plus title, passenger-vehicle registration, trucking registration, electric-vehicle registration and parking-tax increases. The collapsed row shows the package’s modeled cumulative collections; the expansion preserves each underlying effective date, revenue estimate and bill citation.
Start dates and future activation: exact statutory or administrative effective dates are used where available. A row marked “modeled” uses July 1 of its listed year. Future-dated estimates remain at $0.00 until their start date, then begin accruing automatically without a site update.
Official-source backfill: missing line-item estimates were researched against CGFA budget summaries, Comptroller fund receipts, IDOR reports and bulletins, and the Illinois Gaming Board. These detail estimates are already contained within the top-down Illinois Policy state-tax series used by the headline clock, so they are not added a second time. Items that official reports combine with another tax base remain excluded from line-item sums and say why in their expanded view.
FY2022 corporate package: lines 37–40 are grouped and allocated using the State’s official $655 million estimate: $314 million for the NOL cap, $214 million for bonus-depreciation decoupling, $107 million for foreign-source dividends and $20 million for the franchise-tax phaseout freeze. Running amounts annualize those FY2022 estimates; they are not reported collections.
SB 690 gambling package: lines 27–30 are grouped consecutively without changing the 71-count. The counter attributes four percentage points of video-gaming net terminal income to SB 690, preserves the original 15% sports-wagering tax as the SB 690 share, and uses CGFA’s reported sports-license fees. The casino rate restructuring is shown but contributes $0 because CGFA found it reduced State revenue compared with the prior structure. Later sports-wagering and video-gaming increases remain separate ledger entries.
Tips and overtime: Illinois did not enact a separate add-back for the new federal deductions. The federal deductions occur after adjusted gross income, while Illinois begins its individual-income-tax calculation with federal AGI. Illinois therefore continues taxing qualified tips and overtime, but that continuation is not counted as a new Illinois tax hike. The enacted $144 million business-expensing decoupling is counted separately.